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Global radiative effects of solid fuel cookstove aerosol emissions

机译:固体燃料烹饪气溶胶排放的全球辐射效应

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We apply the NCAR CAM5-Chem global aerosol-climate model to quantify the net global radiative effects of black and organic carbon aerosols from global and Indian solid fuel cookstove emissions for the year 2010. Our assessment accounts for the direct radiative effects, changes to cloud albedo and lifetime (aerosol indirect effect, AIE), impacts on clouds via the vertical temperature profile (semi-direct effect, SDE) and changes in the surface albedo of snow and ice (surface albedo effect). In addition, we provide the first estimate of household solid fuel black carbon emission effects on ice clouds. Anthropogenic emissions are from the IIASA GAINS ECLIPSE V5a inventory. A global dataset of black carbon (BC) and organic aerosol (OA) measurements from surface sites and aerosol optical depth (AOD) from AERONET is used to evaluate the model skill. Compared with observations, the model successfully reproduces the spatial patterns of atmospheric BC and OA concentrations, and agrees with measurements to within a factor of?2. Globally, the simulated AOD agrees well with observations, with a normalized mean bias close to zero. However, the model tends to underestimate AOD over India and China by ?~??19?±?4?% but overestimate it over Africa by ?~??25?±?11?% (± represents modeled temporal standard deviations for n?=?5 run years). Without BC serving as ice nuclei (IN), global and Indian solid fuel cookstove aerosol emissions have net global cooling radiative effects of ?141?±?4?mW?m?2 and ?12?±?4?mW?m?2, respectively (± represents modeled temporal standard deviations for n?=?5 run years). The net radiative impacts are dominated by the AIE and SDE mechanisms, which originate from enhanced cloud condensation nuclei concentrations for the formation of liquid and mixed-phase clouds, and a suppression of convective transport of water vapor from the lower troposphere to the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere that in turn leads to reduced ice cloud formation. When BC is allowed to behave as a source of IN, the net global radiative impacts of the global and Indian solid fuel cookstove emissions range from ?275 to +154?mW?m?2 and ?33 to +24?mW?m?2, with globally averaged values of ?59?±?215 and 0.3?±?29?mW?m?2, respectively. Here, the uncertainty range is based on sensitivity simulations that alter the maximum freezing efficiency of BC across a plausible range: 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1. BC–ice cloud interactions lead to substantial increases in high cloud (??500?hPa) fractions. Thus, the net sign of the impacts of carbonaceous aerosols from solid fuel cookstoves on global climate (warming or cooling) remains ambiguous until improved constraints on BC interactions with mixed-phase and ice clouds are available.
机译:我们应用NCAR Cam5-Chem全球气溶胶气候模型,以量化2010年全球和印度固体燃料烹饪灶排放的黑色和有机碳气溶液的净全球辐射效应。我们的评估占直接辐射效应,云变化Albedo和终身(气溶胶间接效果,AIE),通过垂直温度曲线(半直接效应,SDE)对云的影响和雪和冰(表面反冰效应)的表面二手玻璃的变化。此外,我们提供对冰云的家庭固体燃料黑色碳排放效应的第一估计。人为排放来自IIASA获得eClipse V5A库存。使用来自AerOnet的表面位点和气溶胶光学深度(AOD)的黑碳(BC)和有机气溶胶(OA)测量的全球数据集用于评估模型技能。与观察结果相比,该模型成功地再现了大气BC和OA浓度的空间模式,并同意测量到2。在全球范围内,模拟AOD与观察结果很好,归一化平均偏置接近零。然而,该模型倾向于低估了印度和中国的AOD?〜?? 19?±4?%,但在非洲过度高估?〜?? 25?±11?%(±代表了n的模型时间标准偏差?=?5岁月)。没有BC用作冰核(IN),全球和印度固体燃料烹饪灶具气溶胶排放有净全球冷却辐射效应?141?±4?MW?2和?12?±4?MW?M?2分别(±代表了N?= 5岁的模型时间标准偏差)。净辐射撞击源于AIE和SDE机制,该机制源于增强型云凝结核浓度,用于形成液体和混合相云,以及抑制从较低对流层到上层对流层的水蒸气的对流转运/平流层又导致冰云形成减少。当允许BC作为进入的来源时,全球和印度固体燃料烹饪灶排放的净全球辐射影响范围从?275到+154?MW?M?2和?33至+24?MW?M? 2,具有全局平均值?59?±215和0.3?±29?MW?M?2。这里,不确定度范围基于灵敏度模拟,可以改变BC的最大冻结效率,可粘合范围:0.01,0.05和0.1。 BC-冰云相互作用导致高云(500〜HPA)分数的大幅增加。因此,在全球气候(升温或冷却)上含碳气溶胶从固体燃料烹饪的影响的净迹象仍然存在模糊,直到可获得与混合相和冰云的BC相互作用的改善约束。

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