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首页> 外文期刊>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions >Aerosol microphysics simulations of the Mt.~Pinatubo eruption with the UM-UKCA composition-climate model
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Aerosol microphysics simulations of the Mt.~Pinatubo eruption with the UM-UKCA composition-climate model

机译:MT的气溶胶微型药物模拟。〜Pinatubo爆发与UM-UKCA成分 - 气候模型

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摘要

We use a stratosphere–troposphere composition–climate model with interactive sulfur chemistry and aerosol microphysics, to investigate the effect of the 1991 Mount Pinatubo eruption on stratospheric aerosol properties. Satellite measurements indicate that shortly after the eruption, between 14 and 23 Tg of SO2 (7 to 11.5 Tg of sulfur) was present in the tropical stratosphere. Best estimates of the peak global stratospheric aerosol burden are in the range 19 to 26 Tg, or 3.7 to 6.7 Tg of sulfur assuming a composition of between 59 and 77 % H2SO4. In light of this large uncertainty range, we performed two main simulations with 10 and 20 Tg of SO2 injected into the tropical lower stratosphere. Simulated stratospheric aerosol properties through the 1991 to 1995 period are compared against a range of available satellite and in situ measurements. Stratospheric aerosol optical depth (sAOD) and effective radius from both simulations show good qualitative agreement with the observations, with the timing of peak sAOD and decay timescale matching well with the observations in the tropics and mid-latitudes. However, injecting 20 Tg gives a factor of 2 too high stratospheric aerosol mass burden compared to the satellite data, with consequent strong high biases in simulated sAOD and surface area density, with the 10 Tg injection in much better agreement. Our model cannot explain the large fraction of the injected sulfur that the satellite-derived SO2 and aerosol burdens indicate was removed within the first few months after the eruption. We suggest that either there is an additional alternative loss pathway for the SO2 not included in our model (e.g. via accommodation into ash or ice in the volcanic cloud) or that a larger proportion of the injected sulfur was removed via cross-tropopause transport than in our simulations. We also critically evaluate the simulated evolution of the particle size distribution, comparing in detail to balloon-borne optical particle counter (OPC) measurements from Laramie, Wyoming, USA (41° N). Overall, the model captures remarkably well the complex variations in particle concentration profiles across the different OPC size channels. However, for the 19 to 27 km injection height-range used here, both runs have a modest high bias in the lowermost stratosphere for the finest particles (radii less than 250 nm), and the decay timescale is longer in the model for these particles, with a much later return to background conditions. Also, whereas the 10 Tg run compared best to the satellite measurements, a significant low bias is apparent in the coarser size channels in the volcanically perturbed lower stratosphere. Overall, our results suggest that, with appropriate calibration, aerosol microphysics models are capable of capturing the observed variation in particle size distribution in the stratosphere across both volcanically perturbed and quiescent conditions. Furthermore, additional sensitivity simulations suggest that predictions with the models are robust to uncertainties in sub-grid particle formation and nucleation rates in the stratosphere.
机译:我们使用具有互动硫化学和气溶胶微生物的平流层 - 对流层组成 - 气候模型,探讨1991年绣球系统喷发对平流层气溶胶性能的影响。卫星测量结果表明,在热带平流层中存在爆发后的爆发后,在14至23℃(7至11.5℃的硫)之间存在。峰值全球平流层气溶胶负担的最佳估计值19至26吨,或3.7至6.7吨硫,假设在59-77%H 2 SO 4之间的组成。鉴于这种庞大的不确定性范围,我们进行了两个具有10和20 Tg的SO2的主要模拟,注入了热带较低的平流层。通过1991年至1995年的模拟平流层气溶胶特性与一系列可用卫星和原位测量进行比较。两种模拟的平流层气溶胶光学深度(SAOD)和有效半径与观察结果显示出良好的定性协议,峰萨多和衰减时间符合热带地区和中纬度的观察结果。然而,与卫星数据相比,注射20 TG给出了2种过高的平坦散热器质量负担,因此模拟Saod和表面积密度随之而来的强大的高偏见,10 TG注射以更好的协议。我们的模型无法解释卫星衍生的SO2和气溶胶沉淀的大部分注入的硫,表明在喷发后的前几个月内被除去。我们建议您的模型中未包括的SO2的额外替代损失途径(例如,通过在火山岩中的灰烬或冰中的容纳),或者通过交叉对象传输除去较大比例的注射硫比例我们的模拟。我们还重视粒度分布的模拟演化,详细比较了来自Laramie,Wyoming,USA(41°N)的球囊的光学粒子计数器(OPC)测量。总的来说,该模型在不同OPC尺寸通道上显着捕获粒子浓度分布的复杂变化。但是,对于这里使用的19至27km注入高度范围,在最优选的粒子(半径小于250nm)的最下层平流层中的运行都具有适度的高偏差,并且这些粒子的模型中的衰减时间段更长。 ,后来返回背景条件。而且,而10 Tg运行最佳地与卫星测量相比,在火山扰动的较低平流层中的粗糙尺寸通道中显而易见。总的来说,我们的结果表明,通过适当的校准,气溶胶微物质学模型能够捕获在Valcanical扰动和静态条件下平流层中粒度分布的观察到的变化。此外,额外的敏感性模拟表明,与模型的预测对平流层中的子网格颗粒形成和成核率的不确定性是鲁棒的。
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