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Increases in surface ozone pollution in China from 2013 to 2019: anthropogenic and meteorological influences

机译:2013年至2019年中国表面臭氧污染的增加:人为和气象影响

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Surface ozone data from the Chinese Ministry of Ecology and Environment (MEE) network show sustained increases across the country over the 2013–2019 period. Despite Phase 2 of the Clean Air Action Plan targeting ozone pollution, ozone was higher in 2018–2019 than in previous years. The mean summer 2013–2019 trend in maximum 8h average (MDA8) ozone was 1.9ppba?1 (p0.01) across China and 3.3ppba?1 (p0.01) over the North China Plain (NCP). Fitting ozone to meteorological variables with a multiple linear regression model shows that meteorology played a significant but not dominant role in the 2013–2019 ozone trend, contributing 0.70ppba?1 (p0.01) across China and 1.4ppba?1 (p=0.02) over the NCP. Rising June–July temperatures over the NCP were the main meteorological driver, particularly in recent years (2017–2019), and were associated with increased foehn winds. NCP data for 2017–2019 show a 15% decrease in fine particulate matter (PM2.5) that may be driving the continued anthropogenic increase in ozone, as well as unmitigated emissions of volatile organic compounds (VOCs). VOC emission reductions, as targeted by Phase 2 of the Chinese Clean Air Action Plan, are needed to reverse the increase in ozone.
机译:中国生态和环境部的表面臭氧数据(MEE)网络在2013 - 2019年期间全国各地的持续增加。尽管靶向臭氧污染的清洁空气行动计划的第2阶段,但2018 - 2019年臭氧比往年更高。 2013 - 2019年夏季夏季最大8小时平均(MDA8)臭氧的趋势是1.9ppba?1(p0.01),3.3ppba?1(p0.01)在华北平原(NCP)。用多个线性回归模型拟合臭氧的气象变量表明,气象在2013-2019臭氧趋势中发挥了重要但不占主导地位,贡献了0.70倍(P0.01)和1.4PPBA?1(P = 0.02 )在NCP上。六月七月的温度上升至NCP的温度是主要的气象司机,特别是近年来(2017-2019),与潮流的风增加相关。 2017-2019的NCP数据显示细颗粒物质(PM2.5)降低,其可能正在驱动臭氧的持续的人为增加,以及无挥发性有机化合物(VOC)的未触发排放。作为中国清洁空气行动计划的第2阶段目标,需要减排VOC排放减少,以逆转臭氧的增加。

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