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Is there a solar signal in lower stratospheric water vapour?

机译:在较低的地段水蒸气中是否有太阳能信号?

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pstrongAbstract./strong A merged time series of stratospheric water vapour built from the Halogen Occultation Instrument (HALOE) and the Michelson Interferometer for Passive Atmospheric Sounding (MIPAS) data between 60?° S and 60?° N and 15 to 30 km and covering the years 1992 to 2012 was analysed by multivariate linear regression, including an 11-year solar cycle proxy. Lower stratospheric water vapour was found to reveal a phase-shifted anti-correlation with the solar cycle, with lowest water vapour after solar maximum. The phase shift is composed of an inherent constant time lag of about 2 years and a second component following the stratospheric age of air. The amplitudes of the water vapour response are largest close to the tropical tropopause (up to 0.35 ppmv) and decrease with altitude and latitude. Including the solar cycle proxy in the regression results in linear trends of water vapour being negative over the full altitude/latitude range, while without the solar proxy, positive water vapour trends in the lower stratosphere were found. We conclude from these results that a solar signal seems to be generated at the tropical tropopause which is most likely imprinted on the stratospheric water vapour abundances and transported to higher altitudes and latitudes via the Brewera??Dobson circulation. Hence it is concluded that the tropical tropopause temperature at the final dehydration point of air may also be governed to some degree by the solar cycle. The negative water vapour trends obtained when considering the solar cycle impact on water vapour abundances can possibly solve the "water vapour conundrum" of increasing stratospheric water vapour abundances despite constant or even decreasing tropopause temperatures./p.
机译:> >摘要。由卤素掩星(哈及)和迈克森干涉仪为60?°S和60?°之间的卤素掩星(哈及)和迈克森干涉仪的合并时间序列。通过多变量线性回归分析了1992年至2012年的15至30公里,包括一个11年的太阳循环代理。发现较低的划分水蒸气揭示了与太阳循环的相移反相关,太阳能最大化后的最低水蒸气。相移由固有的恒定时间滞后组成约2年,并且在空气平流层龄之后的第二组分。水蒸汽反应的振幅最大接近热带对流(最多0.35 ppmv的)和减少随海拔高度和纬度。包括回归中的太阳循环代理导致水蒸气的线性趋势在完全高度/纬度范围内负,而没有太阳能代理,发现较低平流层中的正水蒸气趋势。我们从这些结果中得出结论,即太阳能信号似乎在热带对象流中产生,这最有可能印在平坦的水蒸气丰度上,并通过Brewera循环运输到更高的高度高度和纬度。因此,得出结论,最终脱水点的热带对流度温度也可能受到太阳循环的一定程度。当考虑到水蒸气丰度的太阳循环撞击时获得的负水蒸气趋势可能解决了尽管恒定甚至降低了对流孔温度的恒定甚至降低的流散水蒸汽丰度的“水蒸气跳投”。

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