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Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Osaka, Japan: Future Trends Estimation with an Age-Period-Cohort Model

机译:癌症发病率和死亡率在大阪,日本:未来趋势估算年龄 - 时期 - 队列模型

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In previous studies we predicted future trends in cancer incidence for each prefecture in order to plan cancer control. Those predictions, however, did not take into account the characteristics of each prefecture. We therefore used the results of age-period-cohort analysis of incidence and mortality data of Osaka, and estimated the incidence and mortality of cancers at all sites and selected sites. The results reflect the characteristics of Osaka, which has and is expected to have large number of patients with liver cancer. We believe our results to be useful for planning and evaluating cancer control activities in Osaka. It would be worthwhile to base the estimation of cancer incidence and mortality in each prefecture on each population-based cancer registry.
机译:在以前的研究中,我们预测每个县的癌症发病率的未来趋势,以计划癌症控制。然而,这些预测没有考虑每个县的特征。因此,我们使用大阪发生率和死亡率数据的年龄 - 队列分析结果,并估计了所有地点和选定地点的癌症的发病率和死亡率。结果反映了大阪的特点,预期有大量肝癌患者。我们相信我们的结果对于计划和评估大阪的癌症控制活动有用。基于每个人口基于癌症登记处的每个州的癌症发病率和死亡率的估算值得归类。

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