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POTENTIAL IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AGROECOSYSTEMS IN THE REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA

机译:气候变化对摩尔多瓦共和国农业体系的潜在影响

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This article discusses the assessment of the potential impact of climate change on agroecosystems in the Republic of Moldova. The final results obtained are based on the analysis and comparison of multiannual precipitation and average air temperature (observation period 2016-2019), in the assessment and forecast of the average crop yield. The high thermal regime and the significant deficit of precipitations contributed to the drying of the upper layer of the soil, creating unfavorable conditions for sowing the cereal crops of autumn on most of the territory of the country. The territory of the Republic of Moldova, by its geographical location, is located in the area with insufficient and unstable humidity. The instability of agrometeorological conditions essentially determines the variability and level of crop yield. Agrometeorological investigations were carried out regarding the current situation and the evolution of the meteorological conditions in the territory of the Republic of Moldova in 2019, according to the data of the State Hydrometeorological Service. The average harvest for the last 10 years of sugar beet constituted 310 q/ha; maize for grains constituted 34 q/ha; of sunflower seeds constituted 17 q/ha; of autumn wheat constituted 29 q/ha. The agricultural producers, as well as the public authorities, need a forecast of the productivity of the field crops in the desert in order to take the respective measures. Soil is the key to providing water, energy and building resilience to climate change. Therefore, the international community must take urgent measures to prevent the increasing loss of fertile land. The balance of the humus is profoundly deficient, the reserves of humus decrease annually by about 1t/ha, the nutrients by 180-200 kg/ha. Analysis of the previous weather conditions, forecasts and specialized agrometeorological calculations show that at the beginning of spring the productive moisture reserves in the soil layer with a thickness of 1 m on the fields with autumn crops and autumn plows will constitute 115-160 mm deep (80-115% of the norm).
机译:本文讨论了对摩尔多瓦共和国农产品系统对气候变化潜在影响的评估。获得的最终结果是基于多年来降水和平均空气温度(2016-2019观察期)的分析和比较,在平均作物产量的评估和预测中。高热制度和显着的沉淀缺陷导致了土壤上层的干燥,从而产生了播种秋季沼泽的不利条件。摩尔多瓦共和国的地区,其地理位置,位于该地区,湿度不足和不稳定。农业气象条件的不稳定性基本上决定了作物产量的变异性和水平。根据国家水文气动服务的数据,对2019年摩尔多瓦共和国境内的气象状况的现状和演变进行了农业气象调查。甜菜甜菜的平均收获构成了310 Q / HA;玉米谷物构成34 q / ha;向日葵种子构成17 q / ha;秋麦构成29 Q / HA。农业生产者以及公共当局需要预测沙漠中田野作物的生产力,以便采取各自的措施。土壤是为气候变化提供水,能源和建筑弹性的关键。因此,国际社会必须采取紧急措施,以防止肥沃土地的损失。腐殖质的平衡深刻缺乏,腐殖质的储备每年减少约1t / ha,营养素180-200kg / ha。对以前的天气条件,预测和专业农业气象计算的分析表明,在弹簧开始时,土壤层的生产性水分储备在秋季耕作的田地厚度为1米,秋季犁将构成115-160毫米( 80-115%的标准)。

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