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首页> 外文期刊>Bihdasht Va Tusiah = Journal of Health and Development >The Effect of Permanent and Temporary Monetary Shocks on The Economic Growth of the Iranian health Sector
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The Effect of Permanent and Temporary Monetary Shocks on The Economic Growth of the Iranian health Sector

机译:永久性和临时货币冲击对伊朗卫生部门经济增长的影响

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Background: Enhancing economic growth and consequently the growth of economic sub-sectors is one of the important goals of any country and is always considered by policymakers. Accordingly, the present study aimed to examine the impact of permanent and temporary monetary shocks on the value-added of the Iranian health sector. Materials and Methods: The present study conducted an econometric and time series analysis of the Iranian health sector. The data on the research variables including the value-added of the health sector and the money supply for the period from 1973 to 2011 were received from the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Eviews software (version 8) was used for data analysis and the Blanchard-Quah method and the SVAR model were used to separate permanent and temporary monetary shocks and analyze their effects on the economic growth of the health sector. Results: The results of the study showed a positive relation between monetary shocks and the growth of the Iranian health sector, with permanent monetary shocks showing the greatest impact. However, monetary shocks had a short-term effect on the value-added of the health sector, so that both types of shocks are moderated after 5 years and their effect disappears. Accordingly, it can be argued that the growth of the money supply had short-term effects on the growth of the health sector. Conclusion: The findings of this study suggested the adoption of the money supply increase policy in an economy leads to inflation and has no real impact on the growth of the health sector. Therefore, the Iranian central bank must adopt policies to control the money supply in the economy.
机译:背景:提高经济增长,从而增强经济子部门的增长是任何国家的重要目标,总是由政策制定者审议。因此,本研究旨在审查永久性和临时货币冲击对伊朗卫生部门的增值的影响。材料和方法:本研究对伊朗卫生部门进行了经济学和时间序列分析。从伊朗伊斯兰共和国央行收到了包括卫生部门的增值及1973年至2011年的卫生部门增值和货币供应的研究。 Eviews软件(版本8)用于数据分析,Blanchard-Quah方法和Svar模型用于分离永久性和临时货币冲击,并分析它们对卫生部门经济增长的影响。结果:该研究结果表明,货币冲击与伊朗卫生部门的增长与伊朗卫生部门的增长有关,具有永久性货币冲击,显示出最大的影响。然而,货币冲击对卫生部门的增值具有短期影响,因此在5年后两种类型的冲击都会受到调节,其效果消失。因此,可以认为,货币供应的增长对卫生部门的增长产生短期影响。结论:本研究的调查结果表明,通过货币供应增加政策在经济中导致通货膨胀,对卫生部门的增长没有真正的影响。因此,伊朗央行必须采取政策来控制经济的货币供应。

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