首页> 外文期刊>Nature Communications >Global warming changes tropical cyclone translation speed
【24h】

Global warming changes tropical cyclone translation speed

机译:全球变暖改变热带气旋翻译速度

获取原文
           

摘要

Slow-moving tropical cyclones (TCs) can cause heavy rain because of their duration of influence. Combined with expected increase in rain rates associated with TCs in a warmer climate, there is growing interest in TC translation speed in the past and future. Here we present that a slowdown trend of the translation speed is not simulated for the period 1951-2011 based on historical model simulations. We also find that the annual-mean translation speed could increase under global warming. Although previous studies show large uncertainties in the future projections of TC characteristics, our model simulations show that the average TC translation speed at higher latitudes becomes smaller in a warmer climate, but the relative frequency of TCs at higher latitudes increases. Since the translation speed is much larger in the extratropics, the increase in the relative frequency of TCs at higher latitudes compensates the reduction of the translation speed there, leading to a global mean increase in TC translation speed.
机译:由于其影响的持续时间,缓慢移动的热带气旋(TCS)可能会引起大雨。结合预期的雨率增加与TCS在温暖的气氛中,过去和未来的TC翻译速度越来越感兴趣。在这里,我们展示了基于历史模拟模拟的1951 - 2011年期间模拟了转换速度的放缓趋势。我们还发现,在全球变暖中可能会增加年度平均翻译速度。尽管以前的研究表明,在TC特性的未来预测中显示出大的不确定性,但我们的模型模拟表明,在较高的气候中,较高纬度的平均TC翻译速度变得越来越小,但TCS在较高纬度的相对频率增加增加。由于在卓越层中的翻译速度大得多,因此TCS在更高纬度的TC的相对频率的增加补偿了在那里的翻译速度的降低,导致TC翻译速度的全局平均增加。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号