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首页> 外文期刊>Mathematical Problems in Engineering: Theory, Methods and Applications >Dynamic Risk Analysis in Metro Construction Using Statistical Process Control
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Dynamic Risk Analysis in Metro Construction Using Statistical Process Control

机译:统计过程控制地铁建设动态风险分析

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Metro construction is normally carried out in complex engineering geological environment, so it can generate various risk events. In the process of metro construction, a scientific risk dynamic analysis is indispensable to reduce and control risks. In order to analyze the risk in metro construction more scientifically and reasonably, in this study, a new risk dynamic analysis method for metro construction is proposed using statistical process control. The method can analyse the risk level according to the process’s capacity index and identify the characteristics of risk variation according to the statistical control chart. The risk level and the characteristic of risks may vary with dynamical updating of monitoring data, so the conclusion of risk evaluation for a time interval can be drawn and corresponding safety measures can be ascertained. The method ushers statistical process control, so the random factors in risk evolution can be considered fully. Then, the method is applied to the risk analysis of shield construction under the Beijing-Tianjin intercity railway in Beijing Metro Line 8, a typical risk problem in the traffic construction. The variation of the risk level and the characteristic of risks can be evaluated reasonably because the dynamical randomness is considered. Moreover, whether risk control measures should be taken and what the effective measures are can be ascertained explicitly.
机译:地铁建设通常在复杂的工程地质环境中进行,因此它可以产生各种风险事件。在地铁建设过程中,科学风险动态分析是减少和控制风险不可或缺的。为了分析地铁施工的风险更科学,合理地,在本研究中,采用统计过程控制提出了一种新的风险动态分析方法,采用统计过程控制。该方法可以根据过程的容量指标分析风险等级,并根据统计控制图确定风险变化的特征。风险等级和风险的特性可能因监测数据的动态更新而变化,因此可以绘制时间间隔的风险评估的结论,并且可以确定相应的安全措施。方法级统计过程控制,因此可以充分考虑风险进化中的随机因子。然后,该方法适用于北京地铁8号线京津城际铁路​​下盾构建设的风险分析,是交通建设的典型风险问题。可以合理地评估风险等级的变化和风险的特征,因为考虑了动态随机性。此外,是否应采取风险控制措施,明确可以确定有效措施。

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