Monte Carlo Simulation Approach to Reliability Analysis of Complex Systems

摘要

The article presents new results concerned with general procedures and algorithms to assess the reliability of complex systems with various reliability structures. The analytical method and based on it the simulation method were used to estimate the reliability characteristics of the port grain transportation system. Finally, the general simulation algorithm was developed to evaluate the reliability characteristics of ageing complex systems. In this case, the systems operating processes were described by any distributions of sojourn times in operation states and the reliability functions of their components were modified in such a way that these components are not characterized by a a??lack of memorya??. The application of this algorithm has been illustrated by the results for exemplary complex two-state systems.