Predicting Costs of City Busesa?? Incapacity Risk

摘要

The paper describes operational efficiency research of city buses from two manufacturers during the 6 years of operation under real conditions. The presented operational efficiency assessment model includes unplanned incidental repairs costs, downtime costs, as well as the likelihood of losing customer-passengera??s trust. The results of the efficiency calculations were used to estimate the expected costs of busesa?? incapacity risk. It has been demonstrated that the operational efficiency and incapacity risk costs can be a criterion for the optimal period of operation, as well as the criterion of comparison of bus makes in a transport company.