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Risks to Financial Stability and Monetary Policy: Rules or Discretion?

机译:金融稳定和货币政策的风险:规则或自由裁量权?

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We evaluate monetary policy which is conducted in a way that addresses financial stability as an explicit monetary policy objective using a simple game theoretic model analysing the strategic interaction between a central bank and a financial sector. The extant literature in favour of “lean-against-the-wind” (LATW) monetary policy calls for more flexibility and the use of longer policy-horizons. We, therefore, assess monetary policy under discretion and under commitment to an instrument rule. Our analysis supports that rule-based LATW monetary policy outperforms the discretionary equivalent, in terms of controlling inflation, anchoring inflation expectations to the central bank’s inflation target and enhancing financial sector profitability. Under substantial risks to financial stability, we conclude that rule-based LATW monetary policy induces the financial sector to impose more prudence on its operation.
机译:我们评估货币政策,这些政策是以一种解决金融稳定作为一种明确的货币政策目标,使用简单的游戏理论模型分析中央银行与金融部门之间的战略互动。基于“倾向于风”(LATW)货币政策要求的现存文献,以获得更大的灵活性和使用更长的政策视野。因此,我们根据自行决定评估货币政策,并在对仪器规则的承诺下。我们的分析支持基于规则的拉丁货币政策优于控制通货膨胀,将通货膨胀预期锚定对央行的通胀目标以及提高金融部门盈利能力方面的自由裁量权等价。根据金融稳定性的大量风险,我们得出结论,基于规则的拉丁货币政策诱导金融部门对其运作产生更多谨慎措施。

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