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Assessment methodology for the prediction of landslide dam hazard

机译:山体滑坡危险预测评价方法

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This paper represents a contribution to the study of hazard caused by the interaction between landslides and river courses. The effects of such interferences are often catastrophic and could include the formation of upstream lakes, potential dam failure, river bed dynamics and morphological alterations. These scenarios could be substantially reduced if it was possible to predict the eventuality that a moving landslide would block the river. This is a complex topic because it involves composite geomorphic phenomena concerning both hillslope and river systems and their interpretation, through model approaches, is still under development and testing. In this study, a methodology developed in the framework of European Research Project IMPRINTS (FP7) was adopted and integrated in order to identify the areas of triggering and propagation of landslides and to characterize the possible scenarios of the interaction with river networks. Different deterministic and probabilistic approaches, calibrated using a case test in the middle valley of the Noce River in Basilicata (Italy), were applied and compared at basin scale.
机译:本文代表了对山顶和河流课程之间的相互作用引起的危害研究的贡献。这种干扰的影响往往是灾难性的,可以包括上游湖泊的形成,潜在的坝体失效,河流动力学和形态改变。如果有可能预测移动滑坡阻挡河流的可能性,这些情况可能会显着减少。这是一个复杂的话题,因为它涉及山坡和河流系统的复合地貌现象,通过模型方法,他们的解释仍在开发和测试。在这项研究中,采用并整合了在欧洲研究项目印记(FP7)框架内开发的方法,以确定滑坡的触发和传播领域,并表征与河流网络互动的可能情景。应用并在盆地秤上使用不同的确定性和概率方法校准在巴斯利卡塔(意大利)的沟道河中河中谷的案例试验。

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