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Market Reaction to The Announcement of General Election Result of The President and Vice President of Indonesia in 2019 (Study on LQ 45 Stock Index on The Indonesia Stock Exchange)

机译:2019年印度尼西亚总统和印度尼西亚副总统宣布的市场反应(关于印度尼西亚证券交易所的LQ 45股指数的研究)

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This study aims to determine the impact of political issues on market reaction when announcing the results of the 2019 Indonesian president and vice president election. The population in this study are all companies listed on the LQ45 Stock Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange from February 2019 to July 2019. Sample taken by using the census method of 45 companies. The type of data used is quantitative and qualitative data obtained from secondary sources collected by the nonparticipant observation method. To test the information content, this study uses an event study approach. In this study there were two periods of events tested, namely the announcement of the results of the presidential and vice presidential elections in 2019 based on the quick count of the Survey Institute and the real count of the General Election Commission. To test the significance of abnormal returns the One Sample Test is used. The results of this study indicate that at the time of the announcement of the general election results based on the Survey Institute's quick count, there was a significant positive average abnormal return on the second day after the event date, while at the announcement of the general election results based on the General Election Commission's real count, there was no abnormal average significant return after the event date. The results concluded that the market must carefully search for information and be able to predict situations that are influenced by political issues to avoid risk.
机译:本研究旨在确定政治问题在宣布印度尼西亚总统和副总统选举的结果时对市场反应的影响。本研究中的人口是2019年2月至2019年7月在印度尼西亚证券交易所LQ45股指上市的所有公司。采用45家公司的人口普查方法采取的样品。所用的数据类型是由非普通人观察方法收集的二次来源获得的定量和定性数据。为了测试信息内容,本研究使用事件研究方法。在这项研究中,有两次进行了两次测试的事件,即2019年总统和副总裁选举的宣布,基于调查研究所的快速计数和大选委员会的实际计数。为了测试异常返回的意义,使用一个样品测试。本研究的结果表明,在宣布宣布基于调查研究所的快速计数时,活动日期后第二天有一个显着的正平均水平返回,而在宣布普通方面选举结果基于大选委员会的实际计数,活动日期后没有异常的平均重大回报。结果得出结论认为市场必须仔细搜索信息,并能够预测受政治问题影响的情况,以避免风险。

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