Using a stochastic forest prediction model to predict the hazardous gas concentration in a one-way roadway

摘要

To accurately and quantitatively analyze the pollutant gas concentration in tunneling roadways, a prediction model of the pollutant gas concentration was proposed and established. Through downhole gas composition data acquisition and correlation analysis, the prediction variables of downhole gas pollution are obtained with both short-term and long-term memory neural network prediction methods and random forest regression modeling methods, making full use of historical target gas concentration data for the future in a short period of time to evaluate the model performance and prediction results. Compared with the results of the stochastic forest regression prediction and the long- and short-term memory neural network prediction, the stochastic forest regression prediction model has a good prediction effect and better generalization effect and is a reliable method with excellent performance for downhole gas concentration prediction. The analysis of the predicted results shows that the change in CO concentration is strongly correlated with CHsub4/sub and COsub2/sub and strongly correlated with Nsub2/sub, making it possible to obtain the potential influencing factors of the target gas. These results provide a scientific basis for the prediction of underground pollution gas concentration and the protection and treatment of the atmospheric environment in mining areas.