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Multivariate analysis and neural networks application to price forecasting in the Brazilian agricultural market

机译:巴西农业市场价格预测的多变量分析与神经网络

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摘要

The purpose of this study is to apply the methodology proposed by PINHEIRO & SENNA (2015) to a set of agricultural products traded in Brazil. The multivariate and nonlinear character of this methodology has shown to be suitable, as compared to the neural network model, since it allows for a better predictive performance. Results obtained in an out-of-sample period, by using the calculated error and statistical test, confirmed this statement. This study will be useful to farmers as price forecasting based on their tendency is relevant.
机译:本研究的目的是将Pinheiro&Senna(2015)提出的方法应用于巴西交易的一套农产品。与神经网络模型相比,该方法的多变量和非线性特性已经适合,因为它允许更好的预测性能。通过使用计算的误差和统计测试,在样品期间获得的结果证实了这一说法。由于基于其趋势的价格预测,本研究将对农民有用。

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