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International Project Risk Management for Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) Construction: Featuring Comparative Analysis with Fossil and Gas Power Plants

机译:核电厂(NPP)建筑国际项目风险管理:具有化石和天然气发电厂的比较分析

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The concern of risk management has continuously increased in international construction projects. International projects have a high level of risk and complexity, which results in greater possibilities of cost overruns and schedule conflicts when compared with local projects. Therefore, the goal of risk management is to improve project performance by systematically identifying and assessing project risks, developing strategies to reduce or avoid risks and to maximize opportunities. However, there have been very limited studies in systemized risk management methods due to the unstructured nature of the risk items and knowledge, especially for nuclear power plant projects. In order to address this issue, this paper proposes a standardized risk management methodology for nuclear power plant (NPP) construction with a capability of comparing distinctive risk characteristics among fossil, gas, and nuclear power plants. The proposed methodology includes standard risk classifications and structured risk evaluation techniques in terms of likelihood, impact, and weightings for different types of power plants. It also defines risk packages and risk paths for effective manipulation in a structured manner. The proposed methodology, variables, and initial values were identified by an extensive literature review and expert interviews. Finally, a customizable prototype of risk management system in power-plant construction projects was proposed in order to examine the viability. Implications of this paper reveal that the nuclear power plant has much higher risks in all areas when compared with fossil and gas power plants. It was stressed, throughout this study, that the risk factors of nuclear power plant construction need to be continuously monitored and evaluated in order to explore sustainable nuclear power plants.
机译:风险管理的关注在国际建设项目中不断增加。国际项目具有很高的风险和复杂性,与当地项目相比,在与当地项目相比时导致成本超支的可能性更大。因此,风险管理的目标是通过系统地识别和评估项目风险,制定减少或避免风险以及最大化机会的战略以及最大限度地提高项目绩效。然而,由于风险物品和知识的非结构化性质,特别是对于核电站项目的非结构化性质,在系统风险管理方法方面存在非常有限。为了解决这个问题,本文提出了一种标准化的核电厂(NPP)结构的风险管理方法,具有比较化石,天然气和核电厂之间的独特风险特征的能力。所提出的方法包括在不同类型发电厂的可能性,影响和加权方面包括标准风险分类和结构性风险评估技术。它还定义了以结构化方式有效操作的风险包和风险路径。所提出的方法,变量和初始值是通过广泛的文献综述和专家访谈来确定的。最后,提出了一种可定制的电厂建设项目风险管理系统的原型,以检查生存能力。本文的含义表明,与化石和天然气发电厂相比,核电站在所有地区具有更高的风险。在本研究中,它受到压力,需要不断监测和评估核电站施工的危险因素,以便探索可持续的核电厂。

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