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Basin entropy: a new tool to analyze uncertainty in dynamical systems

机译:盆地熵:一种分析动力学系统不确定性的新工具

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摘要

In nonlinear dynamics, basins of attraction link a given set of initial conditions to its corresponding final states. This notion appears in a broad range of applications where several outcomes are possible, which is a common situation in neuroscience, economy, astronomy, ecology and many other disciplines. Depending on the nature of the basins, prediction can be difficult even in systems that evolve under deterministic rules. From this respect, a proper classification of this unpredictability is clearly required. To address this issue, we introduce the basin entropy, a measure to quantify this uncertainty. Its application is illustrated with several paradigmatic examples that allow us to identify the ingredients that hinder the prediction of the final state. The basin entropy provides an efficient method to probe the behavior of a system when different parameters are varied. Additionally, we provide a sufficient condition for the existence of fractal basin boundaries: when the basin entropy of the boundaries is larger than log2, the basin is fractal.
机译:在非线性动力学中,吸引盆将给定的一组初始条件链接到其相应的最终状态。这个概念出现在可能产生几种结果的广泛应用中,这是神经科学,经济,天文学,生态学和许多其他学科的普遍情况。根据盆地的性质,即使在根据确定性规则演化的系统中,预测也可能很困难。从这一方面来看,显然需要对这种不可预测性进行适当的分类。为了解决这个问题,我们引入了盆地熵,一种量化这种不确定性的方法。通过几个范例示例说明了它的应用,这些示例使我们能够识别出阻碍预测最终状态的因素。当不同的参数变化时,流域熵提供了一种探测系统行为的有效方法。另外,我们为分形盆地边界的存在提供了充分的条件:当边界的盆地熵大于log2时,盆地是分形的。

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