Urban development is one of the logical consequences of economic growth. RTRW (Rencana Tata Ruang Wilayah) is a blueprint of the city development for each city in Indonesia. The local government refers to RTRW to ensure that the city development always conforms with the blueprint. Unfortunately, what happened in reality sometimes doesnt match with the city plan. Bodetabek region (Bogor, Depok, Tangerang, and Bekasi) as the satellite city of the Capital of Indonesia, plays a strategic role in development in Jakarta. The lack of city development monitoring has been causing various problems to the community, such as environmental damages, flooding, garbage accumulation, and improper land uses. It would be very difficult to fix those problems if the local government doesnt take enough preventive actions to avoid it. In this study, we use remote sensing technology for city development monitoring using change detection approach. The use of remote sensing technology provides an effective and efficient way of monitoring land change detection than a land survey. In addition, the availability of remote sensing data for more than 30 years ago is very useful for analyzing land use changes over a long period. We use MODIS MCD12Q1 data (MODIS Terra and Aqua yearly global 500m type land cover) in the Bodetabek region from 2007 to 2017. Besides the spatial analysis, we also use the area of different land cover classes from each year as a reference for evaluating land use changes. The area changes of each land cover class in the 11 years period then used as the input for developing a prediction model. Based on the obtained prediction model for each land cover class, all classes show a linear trend with a positive slope (urban, forest, and wetland) or negative slope (cropland). The best prediction model comes from the urban land cover class, where the changes in land use are very close to a linear trend. The prediction model generated from this study can be used to predict the area of certain land cover class in the future so that it can be used by local governments in city development planning.
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机译：城市发展是经济增长的逻辑结果之一。 RTRW（Rencana Tata Ruang Wilayah）是印度尼西亚每个城市的城市发展蓝图。地方政府请RTRW来确保城市发展始终符合蓝图。不幸的是，现实中发生的事情有时与城市规划不符。作为印度尼西亚首都卫星城市的Bodetabek地区（茂物，德波，坦格朗和Bekasi）在雅加达的发展中发挥了战略作用。缺乏城市发展监测已经给社区带来了各种问题，例如环境破坏，洪水，垃圾堆积和土地使用不当。如果当地政府没有采取足够的预防措施来避免这些问题，将很难解决这些问题。在这项研究中，我们使用遥感技术通过变化检测方法对城市发展进行监控。与土地调查相比，遥感技术的使用提供了一种监测土地变化检测的有效途径。此外，超过30年前的遥感数据可用性对于长期分析土地利用变化非常有用。我们使用2007年至2017年Bodetabek地区的MODIS MCD12Q1数据（MODIS Terra和Aqua年度全球500m类型土地覆盖）。除空间分析外，我们还使用每年不同土地覆盖类别的面积作为评估土地的参考使用更改。然后，将11年内每个土地覆盖类别的面积变化用作建立预测模型的输入。基于针对每个土地覆盖类别获得的预测模型，所有类别均显示线性趋势，且具有正斜率（城市，森林和湿地）或负斜率（耕地）。最好的预测模型来自城市土地覆盖类别，在该类别中，土地利用的变化非常接近线性趋势。这项研究产生的预测模型可用于将来预测某些土地覆盖类别的面积，以便地方政府在城市发展规划中使用。
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