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THE POPULATION OF GALAXY–GALAXY STRONG LENSES IN FORTHCOMING OPTICAL IMAGING SURVEYS

机译:即将到来的光学成像测量中银河系—银河系强透镜的人口

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Ongoing and future imaging surveys represent significant improvements in depth, area, and seeing compared to current data sets. These improvements offer the opportunity to discover up to three orders of magnitude more galaxy–galaxy strong lenses than are currently known. In this work we forecast the number of lenses that will be discoverable in forthcoming surveys and simulate their properties. We generate a population of statistically realistic strong lenses and simulate observations of this population for the Dark Energy Survey (DES), the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST), and Euclid surveys. We verify our model against the galaxy-scale lens search of the Canada–France–Hawaii Telescope Legacy Survey, predicting 250 discoverable lenses compared to 220 found by Gavazzi et al. The predicted Einstein radius distribution is also remarkably similar to that found by Sonnenfeld et al. For future surveys we find that, assuming Poisson limited lens galaxy subtraction, searches of the DES, LSST, and Euclid data sets should discover 2400, 120000, and 170000 galaxy–galaxy strong lenses, respectively. Finders using blue-minus-red () difference imaging for lens subtraction can discover 1300 and 62000 lenses in DES and LSST. The uncertainties on the model are dominated by the high-redshift source population, which typically gives fractional errors on the discoverable lens number at the level of tens of percent. We find that doubling the signal-to-noise ratio required for a lens to be detectable approximately halves the number of detectable lenses in each survey, indicating the importance of understanding the selection function and the sensitivity of future lens finders in interpreting strong lens statistics. We make our population forecasting and simulated observation codes publicly available so that the selection function of strong lens finders can easily be calibrated.
机译:与当前的数据集相比,正在进行的和将来的影像学调查代表了深度,面积和视觉方面的显着改善。这些改进提供了发现比目前已知的多三个数量级的星系–银河系强透镜的机会。在这项工作中,我们预测了即将进行的调查中将发现的镜片数量,并模拟了它们的性能。我们生成了一组统计上现实的强透镜,并模拟了该组的暗能量调查(DES),大型天气观测望远镜(LSST)和Euclid观测。我们根据加拿大-法国-夏威夷望远镜遗产调查的星系级镜头搜索验证了我们的模型,该模型预测了250个可发现的镜头,而Gavazzi等人发现了220个。预测的爱因斯坦半径分布也与Sonnenfeld等人的发现非常相似。对于未来的调查,我们发现,假设Poisson有限透镜星系相减,对DES,LSST和Euclid数据集的搜索应分别发现2400、120000和170000个星系-星系强透镜。使用蓝减红()差成像进行镜片减法的发现者可以在DES和LSST中发现1300和62000镜片。该模型的不确定性主要由高红移源总体决定,这通常会在可发现的晶状体数量上产生百分之几十的分数误差。我们发现,要使镜片可检测所需的信噪比加倍,每次调查中可检测镜片的数量大约减半,这说明了理解选择功能的重要性以及未来镜片发现者在解释强大镜片统计数据时的敏感性。我们公开提供了人口预测和模拟观测代码,因此可以轻松地校准强大的镜片发现者的选择功能。

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