Probable reliability prediction of the dam constructed with ground materials of the Nam Chien hydraulic power system in Vietnam using the Monte Carlo method

摘要

The current method of probabilistic safety assesses dams with ground material by the criterion of water overflow through the dam crest. Due to the stochastic nature of the material properties, loads and impacts method involves the use of the Monte Carlo method (statistical tests). The algorithm was tested on the example of the ground material dams of Nam Chien hydropower in the Vietnam.