The development of the phasor measurement units (PMUs) and the wide-area measurement systems (WAMS) in power system provide abundant synchronous data for the new application. This paper proposes an online out-of-step monitoring and predicting scheme for the interconnected power systems based on the rotor angle measurement. The Prony algorithm is improved to predict whether and when a power swing will lead to out-of-step of the generator or the power systems. An energy-like weight coefficient approximation of the decomposed signals is introduced to maintain the accuracy and reliability of the model free dynamic prediction method. The effectiveness and applicability of the proposed scheme is illustrated using a 2-area-4-machine power system.
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