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Ecology of Freedom: Competitive Tests of the Role of Pathogens, Climate, and Natural Disasters in the Development of Socio-Political Freedom

机译:自由生态:病原体,气候和自然灾害在社会政治自由发展中的作用的竞争性检验

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Many countries around the world embrace freedom and democracy as part of their political culture. However, culture is at least in part a human response to the ecological challenges that a society faces; hence, it should not be surprising that the degree to which societies regulate the level of individual freedom is related to environmental circumstances. Previous research suggests that levels of societal freedom across countries are systematically related to three types of ecological threats: prevalence of pathogens, climate challenges, and natural disaster threat. Though their incidence overlaps, the literature has not yet provided a competitive test. Drawing upon the ecocultural framework, we tested five rival hypotheses, alternately focused on the above ecological factors and their interactions with economic wealth in explaining country variations in socio-political freedom. Focusing on data from 150 countries, we performed a series of linear mixed-effects regressions predicting freedom in the domains of politics, media, and economy. We found that countries with higher pathogen prevalence were more likely to suppress democracy and media freedom. Economic wealth, however, moderated the effect of pathogen prevalence on economic freedom, with the main effect being only found among wealthy countries, but not among poor countries. In contrast, natural disaster threat predicted political freedom and press freedom only among poor countries, consistent with the idea that disaster threat accompanied by poor resources promote socio-political freedom as a means of increasing collective survival. Throughout our analyses, we found no support for hypotheses based on climatic challenges. In addition, our multilevel approach revealed that country scores for socio-political freedom were highly clustered within world regions, accounting for substantial portions of variance. Overall, the present research offers a nuanced view of the interplay between ecology and wealth in the emergence of socio-political freedom. We discuss new directions in future research considering methodological and theoretical contributions of the present findings.
机译:世界上许多国家都将自由和民主作为其政治文化的一部分。但是,文化至少部分是人类对社会面临的生态挑战的反应;因此,社会调节个人自由水平的程度与环境状况有关就不足为奇了。先前的研究表明,各国之间的社会自由水平与三种类型的生态威胁系统相关:病原体流行,气候挑战和自然灾害威胁。尽管它们的发病率重叠,但文献尚未提供竞争性检验。在生态文化框架的基础上,我们测试了五个对立的假设,交替地关注上述生态因素及其与经济财富的相互作用,以解释国家在社会政治自由方面的差异。针对150个国家/地区的数据,我们进行了一系列线性混合效应回归,预测了政治,媒体和经济领域的自由度。我们发现病原体患病率较高的国家更有可能压制民主和媒体自由。然而,经济财富减轻了病原体流行对经济自由的影响,主要影响只出现在富裕国家中,而在贫穷国家中却没有。相反,自然灾害威胁仅在贫穷国家中预测了政治自由和新闻自由,这与以下观点相一致:灾害威胁伴随着资源匮乏促进了社会政治自由,以此作为增加集体生存的一种手段。在整个分析过程中,我们发现没有基于气候挑战的假设支持。此外,我们的多层次方法显示,国家在社会政治自由方面的得分在世界范围内高度集中,占很大一部分差异。总体而言,本研究对出现在社会政治自由中的生态与财富之间的相互作用提供了细微的看法。考虑到本研究结果的方法和理论贡献,我们讨论了未来研究的新方向。

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