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Forecasting water consumption in towns of different sizes

机译:预测不同规模城镇的用水量

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The aim of the work was to compare water consumption forecasting in two towns of different sizes. The objects of research were the town of Toruń and the town of ?nin in central Poland. Two models were built for each. The models were constructed using the multiple regression method. In constructing the models, explanatory variables determined by Principal Component Analysis (PCA) were used. The set of explanatory variables identified to construct each individual model differed. The models for Toruń obtained better forecast quality assessment criteria values. This was mainly due to the water supply system in the small town (?nin) being less resilient to sudden, short-term changes in consumers’ water use. At the same time, the importance of the location of the meteorological stations from which data was taken to build the model was emphasised.
机译:这项工作的目的是比较两个不同规模的城镇的用水量预测。研究的对象是波兰中部的托伦镇和芬宁镇。分别为两个模型。使用多元回归方法构建模型。在构建模型时,使用了由主成分分析(PCA)确定的解释变量。为构造每个单独的模型而确定的解释变量集不同。托伦模型获得了更好的预测质量评估标准值。这主要是由于该小镇(nin)的供水系统对消费者的用水量的短期短期变化缺乏弹性。同时,强调了从中获取数据以建立模型的气象站位置的重要性。

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