Monte Carlo integral adjustment of nuclear data libraries – experimental covariances and inconsistent data

摘要

Integral experiments can be used to adjust nuclear data libraries. Here a Bayesian Monte Carlo method based on assigning weights to the different random files is used. If the experiments are inconsistent within them-self or with the nuclear data it is shown that the adjustment procedure can lead to undesirable results. Therefore, a technique to treat inconsistent data is presented. The technique is based on the optimization of the marginal likelihood which is approximated by a sample of model calculations. The sources to the inconsistencies are discussed and the importance to consider correlation between the different experiments is emphasized. It is found that the technique can address inconsistencies in a desirable way.