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Social Profitability Threshold of High Speed Railway:A Benefit-Cost Analysis

机译:高速铁路社会盈利能力门槛:收益成本分析

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In this study, the benefit-cost analysis technique for projects evaluation is applied to determine the minimum level of demand that makes a high-speed rail project economically viable in Spain. To get this goal, it is nec- essary to take into account not only the costs and benefits of the high speed railway but also the analysis of the costs and benefits linked to other alternative transport modes, such as plane, private car or bus. The re- sults show that the high-speed rail studied is socially profitable from a traffic volume of 6.5 million passen- gers and for a social discount rate of 4%. Given the benefits associated with network effects, which magni- tude grows parallel to the extension of the high-speed network, this threshold could be significantly reduced in subsequent projects.
机译:在这项研究中,将用于项目评估的收益成本分析技术用于确定使西班牙的高铁项目在经济上可行的最低需求水平。为了实现这一目标,不仅需要考虑高速铁路的成本和收益,而且还必须分析与其他替代运输方式(例如飞机,私家车或公共汽车)相关的成本和收益。结果表明,所研究的高铁从650万人次的交通量和4%的社会贴现率可带来社会效益。考虑到与网络效应相关的好处,这种影响与高速网络的扩展并行增长,因此在后续项目中可以大大降低该阈值。

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