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The Nexus between Analyst Forecast Dispersion and Expected Returns Surrounding Stock Market Crashes

机译:分析师的预期离散与预期的收益之间的联系

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Abstract The performance of analysts’ forecasts has attracted increasing attention in recent years. However, as yet, no empirical study has investigated the nexus between the analyst forecast dispersion (AFD) and excess returns surrounding stock market crashes in any depth. This paper attempts to fill this void by estimating a Fama-French model regression with AFD as a factor. Instead of an expected linear relationship, a nonlinear U-shape relationship between the AFD and excess returns is found. View Full-Text
机译:摘要近年来,分析师的预测表现受到越来越多的关注。但是,到目前为止,还没有任何实证研究来调查分析师预测的离差(AFD)与围绕股市崩盘的任何超额收益之间的关系。本文试图通过估计以AFD为因子的Fama-French模型回归来填补这一空白。发现AFD与超额收益之间存在非线性U形关系,而不是期望的线性关系。查看全文

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