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Research on the Relationship between China’s fixed asset investment in the whole society and its influence factors

机译:中国全社会固定资产投资与影响因素的关系研究

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Vector Autoregression Model (VAR) is applied to study the relationship between China's fixed asset investment in the whole society and its influence factors in this paper. The main influencing factors of fixed asset investment studied in this paper are the ratio of money supply to GDP, total import and export and total population. The conclusion is that the ratio of money supply to GDP and the total population at the end of the year have significant negative impacts on fixed asset investment in the whole society. The fixed asset investment in the last period has a significant positive effect on the fixed asset investment in the current period, which indicates that the investment of fixed assets in the whole society has certain inertia and stickiness. In terms of granger causality, the ratio of money supply to GDP, the total population at the end of the year and total import and export are granger reasons for the fixed asset investment in the whole society.
机译:本文采用向量自回归模型(VAR)研究了中国全社会固定资产投资与影响因素的关系。本文研究的主要影响固定资产投资的因素是货币供应量对GDP的比率,进出口总额和总人口。结论是,年末货币供应量占国内生产总值的比重和总人口对整个社会的固定资产投资产生了显着的负面影响。前期的固定资产投资对当期的固定资产投资有显着的积极影响,表明整个社会的固定资产投资具有一定的惯性和粘性。从格兰杰因果关系上看,货币供应量占国内生产总值的比重,年底总人口以及进出口总额是整个社会固定资产投资的格兰杰原因。

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