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Why Time Works Against a Counterinsurgency

机译:时间为何抗衡平叛

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Through a detailed historical analysis of the British counterinsurgency efforts in Malaya, this paper provides a timely and policy-relevant answer to the question: Why does time work against a counterinsurgency? As the case study indicates, time, quite paradoxically, works against the counterinsurgency in two distinct categorical fashions. First, time functions against the counterinsurgency in a political sense. That is, the frequently external quality of a counterinsurgency lessens the extent of the possible political commitment which they can expect to receive from their home population. As a result, they often need to complete their campaign in a more expedient fashion. Secondly, in a more insidious and common result, time works against the counterinsurgency in a material way. That is, in the absence of control over the local population, public goods—such as aid and humanitarian assistance—given directly to the local people come to support the very insurrection that confronts the counterinsurgency.
机译:通过对英国在马来亚的平叛活动的详细历史分析,本文为以下问题提供了及时且与政策相关的答案:时间为何对抗平叛?正如案例研究所表明的,时间很矛盾地以两种截然不同的分类方式对抗了平叛活动。首先,时间在政治意义上与平叛作战。也就是说,平叛活动的频繁外部质量降低了他们期望从其本国居民那里获得的可能的政治承诺的程度。结果,他们经常需要以更便捷的方式完成竞选活动。其次,时间以更隐蔽和普遍的结果,在物质上对抗平叛。就是说,在无法控制当地居民的情况下,直接提供给当地人民的公共物品(如援助和人道主义援助)就会支持面对平叛活动的暴动。

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