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Effect of Bottom Friction, Wind Drag Coefficient, and Meteorological Forcing in Hindcast of Hurricane Rita Storm Surge Using SWAN + ADCIRC Model

机译:使用SWAN + ADCIRC模型的底摩擦,风阻系数和气象强迫对飓风Rita风暴潮的后兆的影响

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An evaluation of the effect of bottom friction, wind drag coefficient, and meteorological forcing is conducted using a tightly coupled wave and circulation model, SWAN + ADCIRC (i.e., Simulating WAves Nearshore + ADvanced CIRCulation), to hindcast the storm surge of Hurricane Rita (2005). Wind drag coefficient formulations of Powell, Zijlema, and Peng & Li are used to calculate wind stresses. Bottom friction and wind drag coefficients are systematically increased and decreased to quantify their impacts on the hindcast. Different meteorological forcing options are applied to study the effect of wind fields on storm surge development and propagation. Simulated water levels are compared with observed data collected from about 150 locations. It is evident that a lower bottom friction causes higher and faster surge propagation, and earlier arrival of inundation peak at locations far from the land fall. Drag coefficients of Powell, with or without a cap of 0.002, and Zijlema produce similar results, while that of Peng & Li slightly overpredicted the surge. Wind fields may cause overprediction or underprediction of the surge, depending on the choice of the wind model. A good agreement is found between Zijlema’s findings and this study; that simultaneously decreasing or increasing both bottom friction and wind drag essentially provides the same hindcast results.
机译:使用紧密耦合的波和环流模型SWAN + ADCIRC(即模拟近岸WAVE +先进CIRCulation)对海底摩擦,风阻系数和气象强迫的影响进行了评估,以预测飓风丽塔的风暴潮( 2005年)。 Powell,Zijlema和Peng&Li的风阻系数公式用于计算风应力。底部摩擦系数和风阻系数会系统地增加和减少,以量化它们对后铸物的影响。应用了不同的气象强迫选项来研究风场对风暴潮发展和传播的影响。将模拟水位与从大约150个位置收集的观测数据进行比较。显然,较低的底部摩擦会导致浪涌传播的更快和更高的速度,并且淹没峰更早到达远离地面的位置。有或没有上限为0.002的鲍威尔和Zijlema的阻力系数产生相似的结果,而Peng&Li的阻力系数则稍微高估了这一波动。根据风模型的选择,风场可能会导致喘振的过度预测或预测不足。 Zijlema的发现与这项研究之间达成了很好的共识;同时减小或增大底部摩擦力和风阻的方法基本上提供了相同的后验结果。

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