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Stock Market Reaction to Political Events: A Study of Listed Companies in Colombo Stock Exchange of Sri Lanka

机译:股市对政治事件的反应:斯里兰卡科伦坡证券交易所上市公司研究

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This study examines market efficiency and market reaction to political events in Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) using a sample of 40 major political events of the emerging market of CSE which represents different industry sectors from 2008 to 2012. Standard event study methodology is employed to find the results. The results reveal biggest impressive negative AARs of -2.27 percent and strong negative significant (t=-3.27) at 1% level which produced on the political event date. This result shows that political events indicate significant negative information to the CSE. On average, market reacts negatively to market related informational event. Further, largest negative cumulative average abnormal returns (CAARs) of -1.71 percent is found during the 21 days window period. In this negative CAARs, investors’ overall believe that this event result in incremental negative future cash flows of the stock exchange of Sri Lanka. In addition to these findings, this speed market response support to the efficient dissemination of information to stock market participants since stock price adjusts very quickly to political risk information. Furthermore, stock market participants cannot earn abnormal returns by trading in the stock after the event day. Despite, the event day is unprofitable, the market is informational efficient under the market related informational event. Keywords: Abnormal Returns, Event Study, Market Efficiency, Political Event, and Window Period
机译:这项研究使用了代表2008年至2012年不同行业的CSE新兴市场40个重大政治事件的样本,研究了科伦坡证券交易所(CSE)的市场效率和市场对政治事件的反应。采用标准事件研究方法来发现结果。结果显示,在政治事件发生时产生的最大令人印象深刻的负AAR为-2.27%,在1%的水平上具有很强的负显着性(t = -3.27)。该结果表明,政治事件表明对CSE而言是重大的负面信息。平均而言,市场会对与市场相关的信息事件产生负面反应。此外,在21天的窗口期内发现最大的负累积平均异常收益(CAAR)为-1.71%。在这种负面的CAAR中,投资者总体上认为,该事件导致斯里兰卡证券交易所的未来现金流量出现负增长。除了这些发现之外,由于股票价格可以根据政治风险信息快速调整,因此这种快速的市场响应支持将信息有效地传播给股票市场参与者。此外,在活动当天之后,股票市场参与者无法通过股票交易获得异常收益。尽管事件日是无利可图的,但是在与市场相关的信息事件下,市场的信息效率很高。关键字:异常收益,事件研究,市场效率,政治事件和窗口期

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