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Macroeconomic fluctuations in a New Keynesian disequilibrium model

机译:新凯恩斯主义不平衡模型中的宏观经济波动

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Abstract This study extends the current New Keynesian modeling framework by changing one crucial aspect: it replaces the general equilibrium assumption by the arguably more realistic assumption of macroeconomic disequilibrium. As a result, more complex and less smooth macroeconomic adjustment dynamics result, as it is not necessary to assume that goods and labor markets continuously clear. The disequilibrium dynamics in the form of regime-dependent output-, employment-, price- and wage fluctuations complicate the decision making problems faced by the fiscal and monetary policy makers substantially. In particular, the possibility of (multiple) regime switches implies the need for deeper analysis and careful monitoring of the disequilibrium mechanisms and dynamics when designing and implementing monetary and fiscal policies.
机译:摘要本研究通过改变一个关键方面扩展了当前的新凯恩斯主义建模框架:它用可以说是更为现实的宏观经济不平衡假设代替了一般均衡假设。结果,由于没有必要假定商品和劳动力市场持续畅通,因此宏观经济调整动态会变得更加复杂和不稳定。取决于政体的产出,就业,价格和工资波动形式的不平衡动态,使财政和货币政策制定者面临的决策问题大大复杂化。特别是,(多个)政权转换的可能性意味着在设计和实施货币和财政政策时,需要对不平衡机制和动态进行更深入的分析和仔细的监控。

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