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Gambling for the Upper Hand – Settlement Negotiations in the Lab

机译:占优势的赌博–实验室中的和解谈判

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We exploit a controlled non-framed laboratory experiment to study settlement negotiations and the plaintiff’s decision to raise a lawsuit in case of an impasse. We find that greater variance in court outcomes increases the litigation rate. Further analysis suggests that this is due to the reflection effect in plaintiffs’ loss aversion who treat disadvantageous inequality as a loss and who are thus willing to take negative expected value bets for more equality. When studying the settlement negotiations, the best-fitting logit-quantal-response-equilibrium predicts observed comparative statics patterns not predicted by the subgame perfect equilibrium.
机译:我们利用受控的无框架实验室实验来研究和解谈判以及原告在陷入僵局时提起诉讼的决定。我们发现法院结果的更大差异会增加诉讼率。进一步的分析表明,这是由于原告的损失厌恶情绪中的反射效应,他们将不利的不平等视为损失,因此他们愿意为预期的平等付出负期望值。在研究和解谈判时,最适合的对数-量子-反应-平衡预测了观察到的比较静态模式,而子博弈的完美平衡并未预测这种模式。

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