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The European 2015 drought from a climatological perspective

机译:气候方面的欧洲2015年干旱

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The summer drought of 2015 affected a large portion of continental Europe and was one of the most severe droughts in the region since summer 2003. The summer of 2015 was characterized by exceptionally high temperatures in many parts of central and eastern Europe, with daily maximum temperatures 2?°C higher than the seasonal mean (1971–2000) over most of western Europe, and more than 3?°C higher in the east. It was the hottest and climatologically driest summer over the 1950–2015 study period for an area stretching from the eastern Czech Republic to Ukraine. For Europe, as a whole, it is among the six hottest and driest summers since 1950. High evapotranspiration rates combined with a lack of precipitation affected soil moisture and vegetation and led to record low river flows in several major rivers, even beyond the drought-hit region. The 2015 drought developed rather rapidly over the Iberian Peninsula, France, southern Benelux and central Germany in May and reached peak intensity and spatial extent by August, affecting especially the eastern part of Europe. Over the summer period, there were four heat wave episodes, all associated with persistent blocking events. Upper-level atmospheric circulation over Europe was characterized by positive 500?hPa geopotential height anomalies flanked by a large negative anomaly to the north and west (i.e., over the central North Atlantic Ocean extending to northern Fennoscandia) and another center of positive geopotential height anomalies over Greenland and northern Canada. Simultaneously, the summer sea surface temperatures (SSTs) were characterized by large negative anomalies in the central North Atlantic Ocean and large positive anomalies in the Mediterranean basin. Composite analysis shows that the western Mediterranean SST is strongly related to the occurrence of dry and hot summers over the last 66 years (especially over the eastern part of Europe). The lagged relationship between the Mediterranean SST and summer drought conditions established in this study can provide valuable skill for the prediction of drought conditions over Europe on interannual to decadal timescales.
机译:2015年夏季干旱影响了欧洲大陆的大部分地区,是该地区自2003年夏季以来最严重的干旱之一。2015年夏季的特征是中欧和东欧许多地区异常高温,每日最高气温在西欧大部分地区,比季节性平均值(1971–2000年)高2?C,而在东部,高出3?C。在1950年至2015年的研究期间,这是一个最热,气候最干燥的夏季,该地区从捷克东部共和国延伸到乌克兰。就整个欧洲而言,它是自1950年以来六个最热和最干燥的夏天之一。较高的蒸散率加上缺乏降水影响了土壤水分和植被,导致几条主要河流的河流流量创下历史新低,甚至超出了干旱。受灾地区。 2015年5月,伊比利亚半岛,法国,比荷卢经济联盟南部和德国中部地区的干旱发展迅速,到8月达到最高强度和空间范围,特别影响了欧洲东部。在夏季,有四次热浪发作,所有与持续的阻塞事件有关。欧洲的高层大气环流的特征是正向500?hPa地势高度异常,其两侧为北,西(即北大西洋中部,延伸到Fennoscandia北部)大的负距平,另一个正地势高度异常中心在格陵兰和加拿大北部。同时,夏季海表温度(SSTs)的特征是北大西洋中部出现大的负异常,而地中海盆地则出现大的正异常。综合分析表明,在过去的66年中(尤其是在欧洲的东部),地中海西部的海温与干旱和炎热的夏季的发生密切相关。在这项研究中建立的地中海海温与夏季干旱条件之间的滞后关系可以为在年际到十年时间尺度上预测欧洲干旱状况提供有价值的技能。

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