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Advancing land surface model development with satellite-based Earth observations

机译:利用基于卫星的地球观测资料促进陆地表面模型的开发

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The land surface forms an essential part of the climate system. It interacts with the atmosphere through the exchange of water and energy and hence influences weather and climate, as well as their predictability. Correspondingly, the land surface model (LSM) is an essential part of any weather forecasting system. LSMs rely on partly poorly constrained parameters, due to sparse land surface observations. With the use of newly available land surface temperature observations, we show in this study that novel satellite-derived datasets help improve LSM configuration, and hence can contribute to improved weather predictability. brbr We use the Hydrology Tiled ECMWF Scheme of Surface Exchanges over Land (HTESSEL) and validate it comprehensively against an array of Earth observation reference datasets, including the new land surface temperature product. This reveals satisfactory model performance in terms of hydrology but poor performance in terms of land surface temperature. This is due to inconsistencies of process representations in the model as identified from an analysis of perturbed parameter simulations. We show that HTESSEL can be more robustly calibrated with multiple instead of single reference datasets as this mitigates the impact of the structural inconsistencies. Finally, performing coupled global weather forecasts, we find that a more robust calibration of HTESSEL also contributes to improved weather forecast skills.brbr In summary, new satellite-based Earth observations are shown to enhance the multi-dataset calibration of LSMs, thereby improving the representation of insufficiently captured processes, advancing weather predictability, and understanding of climate system feedbacks.
机译:陆地表面是气候系统的重要组成部分。它通过水和能量的交换与大气相互作用,从而影响天气和气候及其可预测性。相应地,地表模型(LSM)是任何天气预报系统的重要组成部分。由于稀疏的地表观测,LSM部分依赖约束条件差的参数。利用最新可获得的陆地表面温度观测资料,我们在这项研究中表明,新颖的卫星数据集有助于改善LSM的配置,从而有助于提高天气的可预测性。 我们使用水文平铺ECMWF陆地表面交换方案(HTESSEL),并针对一系列地球观测参考数据集(包括新的陆地表面温度乘积)进行了全面验证。这揭示了在水文方面令人满意的模型性能,但在地表温度方面却表现较差。这是由于模型中过程表示的不一致性所致,该不一致是通过对扰动参数模拟的分析确定的。我们显示,可以使用多个而不是单个参考数据集对HTESSEL进行更稳健的校准,因为这可以减轻结构不一致的影响。最后,通过执行耦合的全球天气预报,我们发现更强大的HTESSEL校准也有助于提高天气预报技能。 LSM,从而改善了捕获不足的过程的表示,提高了天气的可预测性以及对气候系统反馈的理解。

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