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Design water demand of irrigation for a large region using a high-dimensional Gaussian copula

机译:使用高维高斯copula设计大面积灌溉的需水量

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Spatial and frequency distributions of precipitation should be considered in determining design water demand of irrigation for a large region. In Guangdong Province, South China, as a study case, an eight-dimensional joint distribution of precipitation for agricultural sub-regions was developed. A design procedure for water demand of irrigation for a given frequency of precipitation of the entire region was proposed. Water demands of irrigation in the entire region and its sub-regions using three design methods, i.e., equalized frequency (EF), typical year (TY) and most-likely weight function (MLW), were compared. Results demonstrated that the Gaussian copula efficiently fitted the high-dimensional joint distribution of eight sub-regional precipitation values. The Kendall frequency was better than the conventional joint frequency to analyze the linkage between the frequency of precipitation of the entire region and individual sub-regions. For given frequencies of precipitation of the entire region, design water demands of irrigation of the entire region among the MLW, EF and TY methods slightly differed, but those of individual sub-regions of the MLW and TY methods fluctuated around the demand lines of the EF method. The alterations of design water demand in sub-regions were more complicated than those in the entire region. The design procedure using the MLW method in association with a high-dimensional copula, which simulated individual univariate distributions, captured their dependences for multi-variables, and built a linkage between regional frequency and sub-regional frequency of precipitation, is recommended for design water demand of irrigation for a large region.
机译:在确定大面积灌溉的设计需水量时,应考虑降水的空间分布和频率分布。作为研究案例,在中国南方的广东省,建立了农业次区域降水的八维联合分布。提出了在整个区域给定降水频率下灌溉用水的设计程序。比较了使用三种设计方法,即均频(EF),典型年(TY)和最有可能的权重函数(MLW),设计了整个地区及其分区的灌溉用水需求。结果表明,高斯系群有效地拟合了八个次区域降水值的高维联合分布。肯德尔频率优于常规联合频率,以分析整个区域和单个子区域的降水频率之间的联系。对于整个区域的给定降水频率,MLW,EF和TY方法中整个区域的灌溉设计需水量略有不同,但MLW和TY方法的各个子区域的设计需水量却围绕着需求量而波动。 EF方法。与整个区域相比,次区域设计用水需求的变化更为复杂。对于设计用水,建议将MLW方法与高维copula结合使用来设计程序,该程序模拟单个单变量分布,捕获其对多变量的依赖性,并建立降水的区域频率与子区域频率之间的联系。大面积灌溉需求。

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