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Rainfall and temperature estimation for a data sparse region

机译:数据稀疏区域的降雨量和温度估算

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Humanitarian and development agencies face difficult decisions about whereand how to prioritise climate risk reduction measures. These tasks areespecially challenging in regions with few meteorological stations, complextopography and extreme weather events. In this study, we blend surfacemeteorological observations, remotely sensed (TRMM and NDVI) data,physiographic indices, and regression techniques to produce gridded maps ofannual mean precipitation and temperature, as well as parameters forsite-specific, daily weather generation in Yemen. Maps of annual means werecross-validated and tested against independent observations. Thesereplicated known features such as peak rainfall totals in the highlands andwestern escarpment, as well as maximum temperatures along the coastal plainsand interior. The weather generator reproduced daily and annual diagnosticswhen run with parameters from observed meteorological series for a test siteat Taiz. However, when run with interpolated parameters, the frequency ofwet days, mean wet-day amount, annual totals and variability wereunderestimated. Stratification of sites for model calibration improvedrepresentation of the growing season's rainfall totals. Future work should focuson a wider range of model inputs to better discriminate controls exerted bydifferent landscape units.
机译:人道主义和发展机构面临着在何处以及如何确定减少气候风险措施的优先次序方面的艰难决定。这些任务在气象站少,地形复杂和极端天气事件少的地区尤其具有挑战性。在这项研究中,我们将表面气象观测,遥感(TRMM和NDVI)数据,地貌指数和回归技术相结合,以生成年平均降水量和温度的栅格化地图,以及也门针对特定地点的日常天气生成的参数。交叉验证了年度平均值图,并针对独立观察进行了测试。这些已知的特征重复出现,例如高地和西部悬崖的降雨总量最高,以及沿海平原和内部的最高温度。天气发生器每天和每年进行诊断时,使用来自塔伊兹(Taiz)测试地点的观测气象序列的参数运行。但是,当使用插值参数运行时,低估了湿天的频率,平均湿天的数量,年总数和变异性。模型校准地点的分层改善了生长季节降雨总量的表示。未来的工作应集中在更广泛的模型输入上,以更好地区分不同景观单元施加的控制。

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