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History of Treasury Bills Market in Ethiopia: T-bills Yield and other Interest Rates

机译:埃塞俄比亚国库券市场的历史:国库券收益率和其他利率

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The main objective of the paper is to the development of treasury treasury bills market in Ethiopia (which is a primary market sold directly to the primary investor on the auction) from the year 1995-2016. To meet the objective, descriptive method of data analysis has been employed to explain graphically the demand for and supply of T-bills, the yield applied for different maturing bills, the role of T-bills as a monetary policy instrument (OMO) & government financing and comparative analysis between different interest rates (Saving deposit and Time deposit interest rates), inflation and T-bills yield. The data used for the analysis is annul and is collected from National Bank of Ethiopia. The paper finds out, that T-bills market is in its initial stage even if it was started before two decades since its establishment. We also find illogical relationship between T-bills yield, saving interest rates and inflation. The yield applied for T-bills doesn’t take into account the market interest rate (minimum deposit interest rate in Ethiopian case) and the level of inflation (it erodes out) the return from investing on T-bills. From the result obtained from the analysis it is recommended that, the yield for T-bill must follow the level of interest rate (deposit), take in to account the level of inflation and follow normal Yield curve to have efficient and reasonable price for government securities and to use T-bill as Open Market Operation for monetary policy.
机译:本文的主要目的是从1995年至2016年开发埃塞俄比亚的国库券市场(这是通过拍卖直接出售给主要投资者的主要市场)。为了达到这一目标,采用了描述性的数据分析方法,以图形方式说明了国库券的需求和供给,适用于不同到期票据的收益,国库券作为货币政策工具(OMO)和政府的作用不同利率(储蓄存款和定期存款利率),通货膨胀和国债收益率之间的融资和比较分析。分析所用的数据为零,并从埃塞俄比亚国家银行收集。该文件发现,即使国库券市场在成立以来的二十年内就已经开始,它仍处于起步阶段。我们还发现国债收益率,储蓄利率和通货膨胀之间存在不合逻辑的关系。申请国库券的收益率未考虑市场利率(埃塞俄比亚案例中的最低存款利率)和通货膨胀水平(侵蚀了通胀),投资于国库券的收益。根据分析得出的结果,建议国库券的收益率必须遵循利率水平(存款),并考虑通货膨胀率并遵循正常的收益率曲线,从而为政府提供有效且合理的价格证券,并使用国库券作为货币政策的公开市场操作。

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