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Tests of an additive harvest mortality model for northern bobwhite Colinus virginianus harvest management in Texas, USA

机译:美国得克萨斯州北部鲍勃白lin(Colinus virginianus)收获管理的累加收获死亡率模型测试

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摘要

We evaluated the application of using an additive harvest mortality model (AHMM) as a harvest management strategy for northern bobwhites Colinus virginianus during the 2007/08 and 2008/09 hunting seasons in two ecoregions of Texas: the Rolling Plains (RP) and the South Texas Plains (STP). We collected field data on three study sites/ecoregion (of 400-1,900 ha each; two treatment and one control) to estimate four demographic parameters (i.e. fall and spring density, overwinter survival in the absence of hunting and harvest rate). We used these data to parameterize an AHMM (a theoretical component of sustained-yield harvest; SYH) for bobwhites and compare model-based predictions of spring bobwhite populations with field estimates. Our goal was to compare predictions from the AHMM to field estimates of spring density based on known rates of harvest. Compared to field estimates, the AHMM consistently underestimated spring population density (mean % ± SE) by 55.7 ± 17.8% (2007/08) and 34.1 ± 4.9% (2008/09) in the RP and by 26.4 ± 25.3% (2007/08) and 49.1 ± 2.1% (2008/09) in the STP. Prescribing a fall bobwhite harvest to achieve a specific, target spring density may be difficult given the wide variation in the model parameters (i.e. fall and spring density, and natural mortality) that we observed.
机译:我们评估了在2007/08和2008/09狩猎季节期间,在德克萨斯州的两个生态区:滚动平原(RP)和南方德克萨斯平原(STP)。我们在三个研究地点/生态区(每个400-1,900公顷;两个处理和一个对照)上收集了现场数据,以估算四个人口统计学参数(即秋季和春季密度,在没有狩猎和收成率的情况下的越冬存活率)。我们使用这些数据来参数化水獭的AHMM(持续产量收获的理论组成; SYH),并将春季水獭种群的基于模型的预测与田间估计进行比较。我们的目标是将AHMM的预测与基于已知收获率的春季密度的田间估算进行比较。与实地估算相比,AHMM持续低估了春季人口密度(平均值/标准误差)55.7±17.8%(2007/08)和34.1±4.9%(2008/09),而低估了26.4±25.3%(2007/2008) STP中的第8段)和49.1±2.1%(2008/09)。鉴于我们观察到的模型参数(即秋季和春季密度以及自然死亡率)的巨大差异,规定秋季秋水仙的收获以达到特定的目标春季密度可能很困难。

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