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Spatial and temporal analysis of outdoor human thermal comfort during heat and cold waves in Iran

机译:伊朗热浪和冷浪期间室外人类热舒适性的时空分析

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The past two decades of the 20th century and the first of the 21st century have been characterized by global temperature rise and increased frequency of weather-induced extreme events such as heat and cold waves. Using mean daily meteorological observations from 1995 to 2014, the Physiological Equivalent Temperature (PET) was used to detect heat and cold waves at 155 climate stations in Iran. Additionally, the acclimatization approach was introduced to evaluate human adaptation to interannual thermal perception. This paper, for the first time, uses PET and includes an analysis of consecutive days, as well as statistical filters to measure thermal adaptation of humans to extreme temperature events in Iran. This study presents a valuable first step for the quantification of cold waves and cold stress as well as heat waves and heat stress. Results showed that based on three thresholds resulting from different methods, no cold wave (CW) is observed in southwestern Iran and stations in the coastal strip of northern Persian Gulf and Oman Sea. Based on three thresholds, most frequent cold wave occurrence is observed for areas and highlands of North West, North East and the Zagros mountain range with different frequencies for different thresholds. Compared with cold wave, heat waves have been detected throughout the country. Although maximum threshold of the occurrence of this climate hazard occurs at Iran's southern coast, the most frequent occurrence was observed in boarder areas of eastern Iran. On the other hand, findings of the present study confirm the fact that the risk of heat waves in Iran is more serious than that of cold waves.
机译:20世纪的过去二十年和21世纪的第一阶段的特点是全球温度升高和天气引起的极端事件(如热浪和冷浪)的发生频率增加。利用1995年至2014年的每日平均气象观测资料,使用生理等效温度(PET)来检测伊朗155个气候站的热浪和冷浪。另外,引入了适应方法来评估人类对年际热感知的适应性。本文首次使用PET,包括对连续几天的分析以及统计过滤器,以测量人类对伊朗极端温度事件的热适应。这项研究为量化冷波和冷应力以及热波和热应力提供了有价值的第一步。结果表明,根据不同方法得出的三个阈值,在伊朗西南部以及波斯湾北部和阿曼海沿海地带均未观测到冷波(CW)。基于三个阈值,在西北地区,东北地区和Zagros山脉的地区和高地中,观察到最频繁的冷波发生,并且对于不同的阈值具有不同的频率。与冷浪相比,在全国范围内都发现了热浪。尽管这种气候危害发生的最大阈值发生在伊朗南部海岸,但在伊朗东部的边界地区观察到了最频繁的发生。另一方面,本研究的结果证实了一个事实,即伊朗的热浪危险比冷浪严重。

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