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Symbolic regression of crop pest forecasting using genetic programming

机译:使用遗传规划的农作物病虫害预测的符号回归

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In this paper, we propose and evaluate a mathematical modelthat describes the reported data on crop pests to get an accurateprediction of production costs, food safety, and the protection of the environment. Meteorological factors are not the only things thataffect a bumper harvest; it is also affected by crop plant diseasesand insect pests. Studies show that relying solely on the naked-eyeobservations of experts to forecast well-planned agriculture is notalways sufficient to achieve effective control. Providing fast,automatic, cheap, and accurate artificial intelligence-based solutions for that task can be of great realistic significance. The proposed approach is genetic programming (GP)-based and is explicitly directed at solving the symbolic regression of crop pest forecasting. The GP approach is used to create a fitted crop pest model. Our experimental results indicate that the GP model can significantly support an accurate and automatic building of a reliable mathematical model. Furthermore, a comparison between the GP model and a linear regression model is also provided. The developed GP model can successfully achieve a precision of approximately 0.0557.
机译:在本文中,我们提出并评估了一个数学模型,该模型描述了有关农作物害虫的报告数据,以准确预测生产成本,食品安全性和环境保护。气象因素并不是唯一影响丰收的因素。它也受到农作物病虫害的影响。研究表明,仅仅依靠专家的肉眼观察来预测精心计划的农业并不足以实现有效控制。为该任务提供快速,自动,廉价和准确的基于人工智能的解决方案可能具有极大的现实意义。所提出的方法是基于遗传编程(GP)的,并且明确针对解决农作物病虫害预测的符号回归问题。 GP方法用于创建合适的农作物害虫模型。我们的实验结果表明,GP模型可以极大地支持准确和自动构建可靠的数学模型。此外,还提供了GP模型和线性回归模型之间的比较。开发的GP模型可以成功达到约0.0557的精度。

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