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首页> 外文期刊>Theoretical Economics Letters >A Biased Expectation Equilibrium in Indeterminate DSGE Models
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A Biased Expectation Equilibrium in Indeterminate DSGE Models

机译:不确定DSGE模型中的有偏期望均衡

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摘要

The aim of this article is to introduce a solution method for an indeterminate dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. The method uses the concept of a biased expectation equilibrium, which is defined in this paper and means that expectations of certain variable are mechanically biased against those that would be rational. Our method should be particularly useful in terms of empirical estimation using DSGE models, because it will allow researchers to estimate how much agents’ expectations are biased in the case where a model has indeterminacy.
机译:本文的目的是介绍不确定的动态随机一般均衡(DSGE)模型的求解方法。该方法使用了在本文中定义的有偏期望均衡的概念,这意味着某些变量的期望在机械上偏向于那些合理的期望。在使用DSGE模型进行经验估计方面,我们的方法应该特别有用,因为它可以让研究人员估计在模型具有不确定性的情况下,代理商的期望有多少偏差。

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