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How to reach a compromise solution on technical and non-structural flood control measures

机译:如何在技术和非结构性防洪措施上达成折衷解决方案

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Harmful impacts of floods are the result of an interaction between extreme hydrological events and environmental, social, and economic processes. Flood management should consider many diverse aspects and influences and an integrated approach to flood management therefore plays an important role. In order to make an analysis and provide an adequate flood management, it is necessary to bring together a team comprising experts e.g. from the fields of hydrology and water resources, nature protection, risk management, human security, municipal administration, economics, and land use. Estimates by experts can serve finding solutions to given YES/NO problems, and estimating the value of specific attributes or parameters. It is not easy to adopt the solution which represents the best possible agreement among the participating experts, since experts and other participants can represent diverse standpoints. In particular, landowners and leaseholders upstream a catchment are often in a different position than the members of the municipal flood control committee downstream in a city with a high inhabitancy. In order to measure and evaluate the level of agreement between experts and landowners, a newly developed method for assessing the level of agreement and the τ-agreement value was applied. The aim of the present paper is to illustrate the use of a fuzzy-group-agreement decision-making procedure of this kind, involving a broad range of standpoints in a case study of the Zdravá Voda catchment, ?aro?ice, Czech Republic. This illustration has been made by comparison of hydrological model scenarios with the experts’ decision. The method used in the paper applied towards aggregating expert proposals expressed as fuzzy quantities to propose a binary solution to estimate a decisive parameter numerical value. The decision achieved for the Zdravá Voda catchment was that the efficiency of structural measures (polder) was superior over the non-structural measures (replacement of the arable land by grassland).
机译:洪水的有害影响是极端水文事件与环境,社会和经济过程相互作用的结果。洪水管理应考虑许多不同方面和影响,因此,综合的洪水管理方法将发挥重要作用。为了进行分析并提供适当的洪水管理,有必要组建一个由专家组成的小组,例如来自水文和水资源,自然保护,风险管理,人类安全,市政管理,经济学和土地利用等领域。专家进行的估算可以为给定的是/否问题找到解决方案,并估算特定属性或参数的值。要代表与会专家之间最好的协议,采用该解决方案并不容易,因为专家和其他参与者可以代表不同的观点。尤其是,流域上游的土地所有者和租赁所有者的位置通常与居住人口多的城市下游的市政防洪委员会的成员不同。为了测量和评估专家与土地所有者之间的协议水平,使用了一种新开发的评估协议水平和τ协议价值的方法。本文的目的是说明这种模糊团体协议决策程序的使用,其中涉及捷克共和国阿洛罗伊采ZdraváVoda流域的案例研究中涉及的广泛观点。该插图是通过将水文模型方案与专家的决定进行比较而得出的。本文中使用的方法适用于汇总表示为模糊量的专家建议,以提出用于估计决定性参数数值的二元解。 ZdraváVoda流域取得的决定是,结构措施(pol田)的效率优于非结构措施(草场替代耕地)。

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