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Conceptual and Methodological Issues in Evaluations of Road Safety Countermeasures

机译:道路安全对策评估中的概念和方法问题

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摘要

Researchers have a long history in the conduct of evaluations of road safety countermeasures. However, despite the strengths of some evaluative road safety evaluations that align with previous and current thinking on program evaluation, few published road safety evaluations have followed standard conceptualization and methodology outlined in numerous program evaluation textbooks, journal articles and Web-based handbooks. However, conceptual and methodological challenges inherent in many evaluations of road safety countermeasures can affect causal attribution. Valid determination of causal attribution is enhanced by use of relevant theory or hypotheses on the putative mechanisms or pathways of change and by the use of a process evaluation to assess the actual implementation process. This article provides a detailed description of the constructs of causal chain, program logic models and process evaluation. This article provides an example of how these standard methods of theory-driven evaluation can improve the interpretation of outcomes and enhance causal attribution of a road safety countermeasure.
机译:研究人员在评估道路安全对策方面有着悠久的历史。然而,尽管一些评估性道路安全评估的优势与以前和当前的方案评估思想相吻合,但很少有已发布的道路安全评估遵循许多方案评估教科书,期刊文章和基于Web的手册中概述的标准概念和方法。但是,许多道路安全对策评估中固有的概念和方法上的挑战会影响因果归因。通过使用有关推定的机制或变化途径的相关理论或假设以及通过使用过程评估来评估实际实施过程,可以增强对因果归因的有效确定。本文详细介绍了因果链的构造,程序逻辑模型和过程评估。本文提供了一个示例,说明这些理论驱动的评估的标准方法如何改善结果的解释并增强道路安全对策的因果关系。

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