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A Refinement of Bertrand Russell’s Celestial Teacup Analogy and Richard Dawkins’ “Spectrum of Theistic Probabilities”

机译:Bertrand Russell的天体茶杯类比和Richard Dawkins的“有神论概率谱”的改进

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In this paper the theological views of both Richard Dawkins and Bertrand Russell are refined to make them more precise and consistent. Russell points famously to an example of a celestial teacup as an analogy for the existence of God. More specifically the analogy is used to argue against attempts to shift the burden of proof against the sceptic. In his book The God Delusion, Dawkins picks up on this example and uses it as a foundation to argue against agnosticism. While Dawkins’ larger framework for considering the existence of God may or may not be appropriate, it is important that the refinements are emphasized to make the arguments clear. In short his “ Spectrum of Theistic Probabilities ” , as introduced in his book The God Delusion, is adapted to include the consideration of infinite sets. This consideration makes Dawkins’ own expressions of his viewpoint, and the teacup analogy more consistent—as Dawkins’ categorization of his own views seem to push the use of the spectrum to its limit. For example, he claims his views don’t fall precisely onto one of the 7 milestones of his spectrum. The author offers a correction of this by categorizing Dawkins’ own views neatly onto one of the refined milestones.
机译:本文对理查德·道金斯和贝特朗·罗素的神学观点进行了完善,以使它们更加精确和一致。罗素(Russell)著名地指出了一个天体茶杯的例子,作为对上帝存在的类比。更具体地讲,该类比被用来反对试图转移举证责任以反对怀疑论者的尝试。道金斯在《神的妄想》一书中选择了这个例子,并以此为基础反对不可知论。尽管道金斯考虑上帝存在的更大框架可能适当,也可能不适当,但重要的是要强调细化以使论点清楚。简而言之,正如他在《神的妄想》一书中所介绍的那样,他的“有神论概率论谱”适用于包括对无限集合的考虑。这种考虑使道金斯自己表达了自己的观点,并且使茶杯比喻更加一致-因为道金斯对自己观点的分类似乎将频谱的使用推到了极限。例如,他声称自己的观点并没有完全落入他的频谱的7个里程碑之一。作者通过将道金斯自己的观点整齐地分类到一个经过改进的里程碑中,对这一观点进行了纠正。

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