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Can within-season grapevine predawn leaf water potentials be predicted from meteorological data in non-irrigated Mediterranean vineyards?

机译:是否可以通过非灌溉地中海葡萄园中的气象数据来预测季节前的葡萄黎明前叶片水势?

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Aims: Climate-based indices exist for viticulture, particularly for modelling phenological events, but not for vine water status. In this work, climatic variables are linked to the temporal evolution of the water status of the vineMethods and Results: Within-season time-series of predawn leaf water potential from previous studies across 8 seasons in the south of France were collated. Meteorological data were also collected at each site. A stepwise linear regression model was developed to predict the mean predawn leaf water potential of a vineyard block at a given date from climatic variables and time. Variables selected were growing degree days, short-term humidity and temperature effects. Application of the stepwise model to an independent data set, collected at the other two research sites, produced a linear response but required a local calibration at each site.Conclusion: The analysis demonstrated that climatic variables can be used for predicting the temporal evolution of vine water stress in non-irrigated vineyards.Significance and impact of study: The modelling can assist with within-season crop management and future vineyard planning/development in non-irrigated regions. In irrigated vineyards the application is more restricted but it may be used to identify when to start irrigation.
机译:目的:存在用于葡萄栽培的基于气候的指数,特别是用于对物候事件进行建模的指标,但对于藤本植物的水分状况则不存在。在这项工作中,气候变量与藤本植物的水分状况随时间变化相关。方法和结果:整理了法国南部8个季节以前研究得出的黎明前叶片水势的季节内时间序列。每个站点还收集了气象数据。建立了逐步线性回归模型,以根据气候变量和时间来预测给定日期葡萄园区的黎明前平均水势。选择的变量是生长天数,短期湿度和温度影响。在其他两个研究地点收集的独立数据集上应用逐步模型产生线性响应,但需要在每个地点进行局部校准。结论:分析表明气候变量可用于预测葡萄的时间演变研究的意义和影响:该模型可以帮助进行季节内作物管理以及未来非灌溉区葡萄园的规划/开发。在灌溉葡萄园中,该应用受到更多限制,但可用于确定何时开始灌溉。

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