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首页> 外文期刊>Risk Governance & Control: Financial Markets & Institutions >LEADING INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL SOURCES OF CREDIT RISK IN THE TOP SOUTH AFRICAN BANKS
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LEADING INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL SOURCES OF CREDIT RISK IN THE TOP SOUTH AFRICAN BANKS

机译:顶级非洲银行内部和外部信贷风险的主要来源

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摘要

This paper aimed at identifying the leading credit risk indicators in the South African banking context as well as the development of an integrated leading credit risk indicator model. A content analysis was used as a data extraction methodology and structural equation modelling was used as a data analysis methodology. The results obtained indicated that utilising the structural equation modelling, gross savings, and prime overdraft rates, number of judgements, business insolvencies and unemployment rates were formulated as leading economic and market (external) indicators of credit risk in the South African banking context. Similarly, utilising the principal component analysis, bank asset quality, bank asset concentration as well as bank trading and hedging activities were formulated as leading bank specific (internal) indicators of credit risk in the South African banking context. The Integrated Leading Credit Risk Indicator Model (ICRIM) was formulated utilising the accepted leading credit risk indicators. The ICRIM parameters were benchmarked against the generally accepted fit indices such as the RMSEA, comparative fit (baseline comparison) as well as the Hoelter and its results output were found to be consistent with these generally accepted fit indices.
机译:本文旨在确定南非银行业背景下的领先信用风险指标,并开发集成的领先信用风险指标模型。内容分析用作数据提取方法,结构方程模型用作数据分析方法。获得的结果表明,利用结构方程模型,总储蓄和主要透支率,判决数,企业破产和失业率被制定为南非银行业信贷风险​​的主要经济和市场(外部)指标。同样,利用主成分分析,银行资产质量,银行资产集中度以及银行交易和对冲活动被制定为南非银行业背景下领先的银行特定(内部)信用风险指标。综合领先信用风险指标模型(ICRIM)是利用公认的领先信用风险指标制定的。将ICRIM参数与RMSEA,比较拟合(基线比较)以及Hoelter等公认的拟合指数进行了基准比较,发现其结果输出与这些公认的拟合指数一致。

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