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Risk Element Transmission Model of Construction Project Chain Based on System Dynamic

机译:基于系统动力学的建设项目链风险要素传递模型

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This study aims to study the dynamic risk transmission process through project chain among multi projects, which means the risk of one project would influence other projects through project chain. Based on system dynamic, a model of risk element transmission in cost-period chain between 2 construction projects is established and then accordingly studies how the risk element influences the other project. At last an example is simulated by using system dynamic software and the final effect on other project result from risk element transmission is calculated, under which the risk managers would take reasonable risk response measures for risk management. Besides, the simulated result of model provides strong support for using system dynamic to do research on risk element transmission.
机译:本研究旨在研究多个项目之间通过项目链的动态风险传递过程,这意味着一个项目的风险会通过项目链影响其他项目。基于系统动力学,建立了两个建设项目成本周期链中风险要素传递模型,并据此研究了风险要素如何影响另一个项目。最后使用系统动态软件对一个实例进行了仿真,计算了风险要素传递对其他项目结果的最终影响,在此基础上,风险管理者将采取合理的风险应对措施进行风险管理。此外,模型的仿真结果为利用系统动力学进行风险要素传递的研究提供了有力的支持。

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