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Temporal Variation of Rainfall in the Bagmati River Basin, Nepal

机译:尼泊尔巴格马蒂河流域降雨的时间变化

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The main aim of the study was to identify the temporal variation of rainfall in the Bagmati River basin, Nepal using data available at Department of Hydrology and Meteorology, Government of Nepal. The time series data for the period of 1981-2008 were analyzed by using non-parametric Mann-Kendal test, Spearman’s’ Rho and a parametric linear regression. The results showed that there was a significantly increasing upward trend of the annual mean of weighted areal rainfall, with a rate of 2.2 mm per year. Trend analysis of the monthly time series of weighted areal rainfall showed a significant upward trend in the months of summer monsoon season (June and July). However, there were no such significant result in the other season/months. The increasing trend in the summer monsoon might lead to severe flooding in future. Nepal Journal of Science and Technology Vol. 16, No.1 (2015) pp. 31-40
机译:该研究的主要目的是利用尼泊尔政府水文气象部门提供的数据,确定尼泊尔巴格马蒂河流域的降雨时间变化。使用非参数Mann-Kendal检验,Spearman’s Rho和参数线性回归分析了1981-2008年期间的时间序列数据。结果表明,加权平均年降水量有明显的上升趋势,年增长率为2.2 mm。加权季雨的月度时间序列的趋势分析显示,夏季季风季节(6月和7月)的月份显着上升。但是,在其他季节/月份则没有如此显着的结果。夏季风的增加趋势将来可能导致严重的洪灾。尼泊尔科学技术学报16(1)(2015)31-40

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