Er?ulj, Frane - Evaluation of the expert system 'KISS 1.2 KO??1 EKSPERT' on players of the Slovenian cadet national female basketball team

摘要

The model of the expert system of potential performance was evaluated on a sample of twelve female basketball players of the Slovene National Cadet Team. A battery of twentyfive morphological and fourteen motor tests was carried out immediately before the players' departure for the European Championships which enabled us to establish the effect of the present moment state of preparedness on the playing performance and efficiency of the players. In order to establish the relationship between manifest (predictive) variables and the criterion (playing performance and efficiency), the expert system ?KISS 1.2 KO??1 EKSPERT? was used. The estimate (assessment) of playing performance is in statistically significant correlation with the expert evaluation of potential performance on the highest (ultimate) level of performance tree (0.57), and with expert evaluation of potential performance on the level of morphological dimensions (0.59). The correlation between playing efficiency and expert estimate of potential performance is just under the limit of statistical significance. With guards and forwards the amount of correlation between different criteria of success and expert evaluation of potential performance does not differ significantly. The values range from 0.43 to 0.69, but due to the very small number of subjects, are not statistically significant.